County level Change between 2020 & 2024 Presidential Elections. Kamala Harris is the first candidate since 1932 to not flip a single county
Wednesday, 12 Mar 2025
Exclusive insights, data, and analysis for financial market experts.
Search
Have an existing account?
Sign In
Some of those counties that flipped are huge too, Nassau NY, Miami Dade, Hillsboro, Duval FL, Tarrant TX, Riverside and San Bernardino CA.
swing in some of these counties are crazy, like 30-40 point swing towards trump. Largely due to hispanics shifting right.
Oklahoma is the GOP’s version of Massachusetts
Am I blind or is there not a single yellow county?
Trump flipped some black majority counties in Mississippi
Brutal.
Trump just flipped Imperial County, CA (the furthest SE county in the state) so technically that should be purple as well
Kamala was right.. she is unburdened by what has been.
I feel like I’m at r/findthesniper
I’m in Canada and it’s wild how the Liberals (and progressives in general) are not getting the picture that you have to do more than just tell everyone that your opponents are sexist/racist/nazis etc.
Maybe the democrats can skip the primaries again in 2028 and pigeon hole a candidate in no one likes again.
Banish her and all of her advisors from the party
Literally nothing?
Map is already outdated. Trump flipped Imperial County and will likely also flip Lake County both in California.
I’m sorry everyone who was a part of that campaign team should never work for another campaign again because that is absolute insanity. No swing states won, popular vote lost, no counties flipped states like New Jersey being close to competitive again after decades of being democratic strongholds. What a disaster of a campaign even trump made certain gains in 2020.
It’s because she was a terrible candidate
Miami-Dade flipping for trump is the most surprising to me
And Reddit thought Texas was gonna flip blue lmao
Since 1932? Damn…
Biden and Harris made a lot of people angry on multiple fronts. The largest one probably being the working class voters in general, because they kept saying how great the economy was while costs of living are still outpacing wages for struggling families. The Trump campaign capitalized on this with constant doom-posting, which resonated hard with working class voters, who might see Trump as a big risk, but better than an administration that fails to acknowledge how bad things are for the working class right now.
Interesting things to note IMO:
1. The overall popular vote was still pretty close despite what any geographic representation indicates, 74 vs 76 million.
2. Trump marginally increased his voter base but democrats lost support by 2.5x as many. Overall 5 million fewer people voted this time.
3. This is fairly reflective of how incumbent parties have been performing post-COVID in developed national elections globally.
Democrats forgot they have to be likable
Remember guys. Iowa is in play. +3 for harris!!!!
The Harris campaign didn’t emphasize any meaningful policies. She couldn’t think of anything that she would have done differently vs. Biden. Basically, she took on all the baggage of the post-covid mediocrity and based a campaign purely on fear.
Nassau County represents!
Less “shifting” and more that millions of previous D voters just didn’t vote this time around. I live in a red county of about half a million residents and Trump gained only 900 voters from 2020. Harris/Biden lost 25,000 voters.
Honestly I find this change from 2020 hard to believe.
Can anyone spot the yellow?
That’s pretty cool, but I wish they did it by congressional districts (which are based on population) instead of counties. Because people will inevitably see this and rightfully point out that a lot of the red in the middle is just cows. So the congressional district version would be a little more useful
Run her again….lol
Proof Kamala was an astroturfed sham candidate propped up by nothing but distilled lab grown propaganda.
Harris’ performance is totally the opposite of what redditors expected
Damn she really underperformed. I can’t believe she lost that badly. There’s an entertaining sub called r/somethingiswrong2024 and they are convinced the only way this map could exist is by massive election fraud; no other extenuating circumstances lol.
Flipping counties in California is wild.
maybe, having a primary IS good and that you should respect it.
I can guess there were tons of people who would’ve voted for Biden and voted for him in the primary but refused to vote for Harris because the DNC just said “fuck your vote”.
this is why any clinton/harris strategic political operative must go away. They lost.
The legacy media should be held accountable for election interference. They knowingly and willfully lied to voters to sway an election.
how many did hillary flip?
Imperial, CA is incorrect. Trump won by 49% of the vote
Keep blaming it on the republicans though… be sure no lessons are learned at the DNC and keep losing elections.
Kamala flipped a lot of counties… For Trump!